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How Mortgage Rates Impact Conversion Rates: What You Need to Know

By Ethan Ewing
09.17.2024
2 min. read

Discover how changes in mortgage rates impact conversion rates in real estate and lending. Learn about the 50-basis point rule and strategies for optimizing lead conversion even in rising rate environments.

Mortgage rates can significantly impact sales conversion rates, especially in industries like real estate and lending. As mortgage rates rise, conversion rates often decline, but the story is more nuanced. Understanding this relationship helps businesses adapt and optimize strategies.

Curious about using predictive data in your sales and marketing? Schedule a Demo to learn more.

Mortgage Rates Are Up, But Lead Volume Stays Steady

One surprising insight is that although mortgage rates have increased, lead volume hasn’t dropped. People are still showing plenty of interest, even as rates climb. The challenge lies in converting those leads. In some cases, conversion rates have dropped by as much as 30-40% monthly when rates increase significantly. This drop can feel steep, but there’s more to consider.

The 50-Basis Point Rule: Impact of Mortgage Rate on Conversions

Common mortgage rate trends reveal that for every 50-basis point (0.50%) increase in mortgage rates, conversion rates can drop by about 20%. This can have a significant impact on businesses heavily reliant on mortgage-related sales. However, it’s not just the rate increase that matters.

Read More: How Predictive AI Enhances Lead Assignment and Sales Strategies

It’s Not Just the Rate, But Mortgage Rate Trends That Matter

The trend of rising or falling mortgage rates plays a major role in conversion behavior. When rates are rising, consumers are less likely to take action, leading to lower conversion rates. However, when rates stabilize or start to decline, conversion rates typically bounce back. Interestingly, conversion rates don’t need a significant drop to improve. Even a slight leveling off or decrease can lead to a recovery.

Stay Calm and Think Long-Term

It’s easy to worry when conversion rates dip due to rising mortgage rates. However, these changes are often short-term. As long as mortgage rates stabilize, conversion rates tend to follow. Taking a long-term view helps businesses weather these fluctuations and find success over time.


By leveraging predictive AI, businesses can gain insights into customer behavior, adapt their sales strategies, and improve conversion rates despite fluctuating mortgage rates. Predictive AI tools help sales teams prioritize leads and make data-driven decisions, enhancing overall efficiency and performance.

Category: InsightsTag: Conversion rates, Impact of mortgage rates on conversion, Mortgage rate trends, Mortgage rates

Further Reading

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How to Layer Predictive AI onto Your Existing Sales Workflow—Without a Rebuild

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How Predictive AI is Transforming Direct Marketing

4 min. read

Boost Sales Confidence with Predictive Values: Move from Hope to Certainty

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